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Weekend Coupon

Premier LeagueFRI 04 SEP – SUN 06 SEP 2026Built Sun 06 Sep 2026, 22:51Ranked by juice score

Games run 1 to 10, strongest first. #1 is where the model is most confident the goals, corners and cards will land; #10 is the one to be wary of. The number next to each game (0–100) is that confidence. A guide, not a guarantee — always check the odds yourself.

Last weekend — how the model did

17/30 within range

Each metric shows model prediction → actual result (difference). ✓ = model landed within range (±1.0 goals, ±2.5 corners, ±1.5 cards).

FRI 28 AUG C Palace 1–4 Man City
Goals 3.0 → 5 +2Corners 10.5 → 8 -2.5Cards 3.0 → 3 0
SAT 29 AUG Liverpool 2–2 Nottm Forest
Goals 2.5 → 4 +1.5Corners 11.5 → 8 -3.5Cards 3.5 → 6 +2.5
SAT 29 AUG Bournemouth 1–1 Everton
Goals 2.5 → 2 -0.5Corners 10.0 → 17 +7Cards 4.5 → 5 +0.5
SAT 29 AUG Coventry 0–1 Hull
Goals 2.0 → 1 -1Corners 8.5 → 8 -0.5Cards 4.0 → 5 +1
SAT 29 AUG Spurs 0–2 Newcastle
Goals 2.5 → 2 -0.5Corners 11.5 → 16 +4.5Cards 4.0 → 3 -1
SUN 30 AUG Chelsea 4–3 Brighton
Goals 3.0 → 7 +4Corners 11.0 → 11 0Cards 4.5 → 4 -0.5
SUN 30 AUG Leeds 1–1 Brentford
Goals 2.5 → 2 -0.5Corners 9.0 → 11 +2Cards 3.5 → 4 +0.5
SUN 30 AUG Sunderland 1–0 Fulham
Goals 2.5 → 1 -1.5Corners 8.5 → 7 -1.5Cards 4.0 → 2 -2
SUN 30 AUG Man United 5–2 Ipswich
Goals 4.0 → 7 +3Corners 8.5 → 12 +3.5Cards 3.5 → 4 +0.5
MON 31 AUG Aston Villa 0–1 Arsenal
Goals 2.5 → 1 -1.5Corners 11.0 → 6 -5Cards 3.0 → 4 +1

Model accuracy — season to date

60%

54 of 90 goal / corner / card calls landed within range. Bars below: each metric, then week by week.

Goals
60%
Corners
57%
Cards
63%
212804
01 74

Newcastle UnitedvAFC Bournemouth

SAT 05 SEP · 12:30TOP PICK
Goals3.0
2.53.5
Corners11.5
9.510.511.5
Cards4.5
3.54.5
Newcastle 1.83 xG · 6.05 cnr · 2.06 yc
Bournemouth 1.34 xG · 5.58 cnr · 2.44 yc

Bet builder legs

  • Over 2.5 match goals
  • Both teams to score
  • Over 10.5 match corners (model 11.5)
  • Over 4.5 total cards (model 4.5)
02 61

Ipswich TownvLiverpool

FRI 04 SEP · 20:00

Promoted side involved — thin top-flight data, lower confidence.

Goals3.5
2.53.5
Corners10.0
9.510.511.5
Cards4.0
3.54.5
Ipswich 1.21 xG · 3.9 cnr · 1.83 yc
Liverpool 2.27 xG · 6.11 cnr · 2.05 yc

Bet builder legs

  • Over 2.5 match goals
  • Both teams to score
  • Over 9.5 match corners (model 10.0)
  • Over 3.5 total cards (model 4.0)
03 53

Manchester CityvCoventry City

SAT 05 SEP · 15:00

Promoted side involved — thin top-flight data, lower confidence.

Goals3.0
2.53.5
Corners10.5
9.510.511.5
Cards3.5
3.54.5
Man City 2.77 xG · 6.42 cnr · 1.67 yc
Coventry 0.4 xG · 4.3 cnr · 1.83 yc

Bet builder legs

  • Over 2.5 match goals
  • Over 9.5 match corners (model 10.5)
  • Over 2.5 total cards (model 3.5)
04 50

ArsenalvChelsea

SUN 06 SEP · 16:30

Red-card watch: both sides among the most-carded last season.

Goals2.5
2.53.5
Corners11.5
9.510.511.5
Cards3.5
3.54.5
Arsenal 1.98 xG · 5.68 cnr · 1.34 yc
Chelsea 0.7 xG · 5.95 cnr · 2.32 yc

Bet builder legs

  • Over 1.5 match goals
  • Over 10.5 match corners (model 11.5)
  • Over 3.5 total cards (model 3.5)
  • A red card shown (both sides card-heavy last season)
05 38

Brighton & Hove AlbionvLeeds United

SAT 05 SEP · 15:00
Goals2.5
2.53.5
Corners9.5
9.510.511.5
Cards4.0
3.54.5
Brighton 1.68 xG · 4.87 cnr · 2.38 yc
Leeds 1.05 xG · 4.42 cnr · 1.54 yc

Bet builder legs

  • Over 1.5 match goals
  • Both teams to score
  • Over 8.5 match corners (model 9.5)
  • Over 3.5 total cards (model 4.0)
06 35

EvertonvManchester United

SUN 06 SEP · 14:00

Red-card watch: both sides among the most-carded last season.

Goals3.0
2.53.5
Corners9.0
9.510.511.5
Cards3.5
3.54.5
Everton 1.26 xG · 4.42 cnr · 1.95 yc
Man United 1.55 xG · 4.76 cnr · 1.63 yc

Bet builder legs

  • Over 1.5 match goals
  • Both teams to score
  • Over 8.5 match corners (model 9.0)
  • Over 2.5 total cards (model 3.5)
  • A red card shown (both sides card-heavy last season)
07 34

FulhamvCrystal Palace

SAT 05 SEP · 15:00
Goals3.0
2.53.5
Corners9.0
9.510.511.5
Cards3.5
3.54.5
Fulham 1.71 xG · 4.92 cnr · 1.80 yc
C Palace 1.23 xG · 4.18 cnr · 1.56 yc

Bet builder legs

  • Over 1.5 match goals
  • Both teams to score
  • Over 8.5 match corners (model 9.0)
  • Over 2.5 total cards (model 3.5)
08 34

Nottingham ForestvTottenham Hotspur

SAT 05 SEP · 15:00
Goals2.0
2.53.5
Corners10.5
9.510.511.5
Cards4.0
3.54.5
Nottm Forest 1.3 xG · 5.21 cnr · 1.67 yc
Spurs 0.71 xG · 5.5 cnr · 2.19 yc

Bet builder legs

  • Under 3.5 match goals
  • Over 9.5 match corners (model 10.5)
  • Over 3.5 total cards (model 4.0)
09 25

Hull CityvAston Villa

SAT 05 SEP · 17:30

Promoted side involved — thin top-flight data, lower confidence.

Goals2.0
2.53.5
Corners9.5
9.510.511.5
Cards4.0
3.54.5
Hull 1.12 xG · 4.1 cnr · 2.23 yc
Aston Villa 0.8 xG · 5.24 cnr · 1.71 yc

Bet builder legs

  • Under 3.5 match goals
  • Over 8.5 match corners (model 9.5)
  • Over 3.5 total cards (model 4.0)
10 22

BrentfordvSunderland

SAT 05 SEP · 15:00
Goals2.0
2.53.5
Corners8.5
9.510.511.5
Cards4.0
3.54.5
Brentford 1.39 xG · 4.79 cnr · 2.07 yc
Sunderland 0.81 xG · 3.63 cnr · 2.01 yc

Bet builder legs

  • Under 3.5 match goals
  • Over 8.5 match corners (model 8.5)
  • Over 3.5 total cards (model 4.0)

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