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Weekend Coupon

Premier LeagueSAT 12 SEP – MON 14 SEP 2026Built Tue 08 Sep 2026, 06:36Ranked by juice score

Games run 1 to 10, strongest first. #1 is where the model is most confident the goals, corners and cards will land; #10 is the one to be wary of. The number next to each game (0–100) is that confidence. A guide, not a guarantee — always check the odds yourself.

Last weekend — how the model did

16/30 within range

Each metric shows model predictionactual result (difference). ✓ = model landed within range (±1.0 goals, ±2.5 corners, ±1.5 cards).

FRI 04 SEP Ipswich 0–2 Liverpool
Goals 3.5 → 2 -1.5Corners 10.0 → 7 -3Cards 4.0 → 4 0
SAT 05 SEP Newcastle 2–2 Bournemouth
Goals 3.0 → 4 +1Corners 11.5 → 7 -4.5Cards 4.5 → 6 +1.5
SAT 05 SEP Brentford 1–1 Sunderland
Goals 2.0 → 2 0Corners 8.5 → 7 -1.5Cards 4.0 → 5 +1
SAT 05 SEP Brighton 1–1 Leeds
Goals 2.5 → 2 -0.5Corners 9.5 → 13 +3.5Cards 4.0 → 6 +2
SAT 05 SEP Fulham 2–3 C Palace
Goals 3.0 → 5 +2Corners 9.0 → 8 -1Cards 3.5 → 0 -3.5
SAT 05 SEP Man City 1–0 Coventry
Goals 3.0 → 1 -2Corners 10.5 → 9 -1.5Cards 3.5 → 3 -0.5
SAT 05 SEP Nottm Forest 0–0 Spurs
Goals 2.0 → 0 -2Corners 10.5 → 12 +1.5Cards 4.0 → 4 0
SAT 05 SEP Hull 0–0 Aston Villa
Goals 2.0 → 0 -2Corners 9.5 → 7 -2.5Cards 4.0 → 2 -2
SUN 06 SEP Everton 2–2 Man United
Goals 3.0 → 4 +1Corners 9.0 → 7 -2Cards 3.5 → 6 +2.5
SUN 06 SEP Arsenal 2–1 Chelsea
Goals 3.0 → 3 0Corners 11.5 → 8 -3.5Cards 4.0 → 6 +2

Model accuracy — season to date

61%

55 of 90 goal / corner / card calls landed within range. Bars below: each metric, then week by week.

Goals
63%
Corners
57%
Cards
63%
212804
01 65

LiverpoolvFulham

SAT 12 SEP · 15:00TOP PICK
Goals3.5
2.53.5
Corners11.0
9.510.511.5
Cards4.0
3.54.5
Liverpool 2.24 xG · 6.11 cnr · 2.05 yc
Fulham 1.13 xG · 4.92 cnr · 1.80 yc

Bet builder legs

  • Over 2.5 match goals
  • Both teams to score
  • Over 10.5 match corners (model 11.0)
  • Over 3.5 total cards (model 4.0)
02 59

Manchester UnitedvManchester City

SUN 13 SEP · 16:30
Goals3.5
2.53.5
Corners11.0
9.510.511.5
Cards3.5
3.54.5
Man United 1.29 xG · 4.76 cnr · 1.64 yc
Man City 2.09 xG · 6.42 cnr · 1.67 yc

Bet builder legs

  • Over 2.5 match goals
  • Both teams to score
  • Over 10.5 match corners (model 11.0)
  • Over 2.5 total cards (model 3.5)
03 57

ChelseavHull City

SAT 12 SEP · 15:00

Promoted side involved — thin top-flight data, lower confidence.

Red-card watch: both sides among the most-carded last season.

Goals3.0
2.53.5
Corners10.0
9.510.511.5
Cards4.5
3.54.5
Chelsea 1.72 xG · 5.95 cnr · 2.42 yc
Hull 1.11 xG · 4.1 cnr · 2.23 yc

Bet builder legs

  • Over 1.5 match goals
  • Both teams to score
  • Over 9.5 match corners (model 10.0)
  • Over 4.5 total cards (model 4.5)
  • A red card shown (both sides card-heavy last season)
04 56

AFC BournemouthvBrentford

SAT 12 SEP · 15:00
Goals3.0
2.53.5
Corners10.5
9.510.511.5
Cards4.5
3.54.5
Bournemouth 1.32 xG · 5.58 cnr · 2.44 yc
Brentford 1.47 xG · 4.79 cnr · 2.07 yc

Bet builder legs

  • Over 1.5 match goals
  • Both teams to score
  • Over 9.5 match corners (model 10.5)
  • Over 4.5 total cards (model 4.5)
05 41

Coventry CityvBrighton & Hove Albion

SUN 13 SEP · 14:00

Promoted side involved — thin top-flight data, lower confidence.

Goals2.5
2.53.5
Corners9.0
9.510.511.5
Cards4.0
3.54.5
Coventry 0.77 xG · 4.3 cnr · 1.83 yc
Brighton 1.92 xG · 4.87 cnr · 2.38 yc

Bet builder legs

  • Over 1.5 match goals
  • Over 8.5 match corners (model 9.0)
  • Over 3.5 total cards (model 4.0)
06 38

Leeds UnitedvNewcastle United

MON 14 SEP · 20:00
Goals2.5
2.53.5
Corners10.5
9.510.511.5
Cards3.5
3.54.5
Leeds 1.32 xG · 4.42 cnr · 1.54 yc
Newcastle 1.26 xG · 6.05 cnr · 2.06 yc

Bet builder legs

  • Over 1.5 match goals
  • Over 9.5 match corners (model 10.5)
  • Over 3.5 total cards (model 3.5)
07 33

Crystal PalacevIpswich Town

SAT 12 SEP · 15:00

Promoted side involved — thin top-flight data, lower confidence.

Goals3.0
2.53.5
Corners8.0
9.510.511.5
Cards3.5
3.54.5
C Palace 1.78 xG · 4.18 cnr · 1.56 yc
Ipswich 1.28 xG · 3.9 cnr · 1.83 yc

Bet builder legs

  • Over 1.5 match goals
  • Both teams to score
  • Over 8.5 match corners (model 8.0)
  • Over 2.5 total cards (model 3.5)
08 31

Tottenham HotspurvEverton

SAT 12 SEP · 17:30

Red-card watch: both sides among the most-carded last season.

Goals2.0
2.53.5
Corners10.0
9.510.511.5
Cards4.0
3.54.5
Spurs 0.84 xG · 5.5 cnr · 2.19 yc
Everton 1.37 xG · 4.42 cnr · 1.86 yc

Bet builder legs

  • Under 3.5 match goals
  • Over 9.5 match corners (model 10.0)
  • Over 3.5 total cards (model 4.0)
  • A red card shown (both sides card-heavy last season)
09 25

Aston VillavNottingham Forest

SAT 12 SEP · 15:00
Goals2.0
2.53.5
Corners10.5
9.510.511.5
Cards3.5
3.54.5
Aston Villa 0.99 xG · 5.24 cnr · 1.71 yc
Nottm Forest 0.99 xG · 5.21 cnr · 1.67 yc

Bet builder legs

  • Under 3.5 match goals
  • Over 9.5 match corners (model 10.5)
  • Over 2.5 total cards (model 3.5)
10 17

SunderlandvArsenal

SAT 12 SEP · 20:00
Goals2.0
2.53.5
Corners9.5
9.510.511.5
Cards3.5
3.54.5
Sunderland 0.5 xG · 3.63 cnr · 2.01 yc
Arsenal 1.46 xG · 5.68 cnr · 1.34 yc

Bet builder legs

  • Under 3.5 match goals
  • Over 8.5 match corners (model 9.5)
  • Over 2.5 total cards (model 3.5)

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