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Premier League Champions League
Games run 1 to 10, strongest first . #1 is where the model is most confident the goals, corners and cards will land; #10 is the one to be wary of. The number next to each game (0–100) is that confidence. A guide, not a guarantee.
Last weekend — how the predictions did
18/30 landed
Each metric shows the prediction → the
actual number in the match. ✓ = it landed.
FRI 04 SEP
Ipswich 0–2 Liverpool
Goals Over 2.5 → 2Corners Over 9.5 → 7Cards Over 3.5 → 4
SAT 05 SEP
Newcastle 2–2 Bournemouth
Goals Over 2.5 → 4Corners Over 10.5 → 7Cards Under 4.5 → 6
SAT 05 SEP
Brentford 1–1 Sunderland
Goals Under 3.5 → 2Corners Under 8.5 → 7Cards Over 3.5 → 5
SAT 05 SEP
Brighton 1–1 Leeds
Goals Over 1.5 → 2Corners Over 8.5 → 13Cards Over 3.5 → 6
SAT 05 SEP
Fulham 2–3 C Palace
Goals Over 1.5 → 5Corners Over 8.5 → 8Cards Over 2.5 → 0
SAT 05 SEP
Man City 1–0 Coventry
Goals Over 2.5 → 1Corners Over 9.5 → 9Cards Over 2.5 → 3
SAT 05 SEP
Nottm Forest 0–0 Spurs
Goals Under 3.5 → 0Corners Over 9.5 → 12Cards Over 3.5 → 4
SAT 05 SEP
Hull 0–0 Aston Villa
Goals Under 3.5 → 0Corners Over 8.5 → 7Cards Over 3.5 → 2
SUN 06 SEP
Everton 2–2 Man United
Goals Over 2.5 → 4Corners Over 8.5 → 7Cards Over 2.5 → 6
SUN 06 SEP
Arsenal 2–1 Chelsea
Goals Over 2.5 → 3Corners Over 10.5 → 8Cards Over 3.5 → 6
Model accuracy — season to date
67%
60 of 90 suggested goal / corner /
card predictions landed. Bars below: each metric, then week by week.
21 28 04
MOST GOALS
Top call
Man United v Man City
over 2.5
MOST CORNERS
Top call
Man United v Man City
over 10.5
MOST CARDS
Top call
Chelsea v Hull
over 4.5
Order: strongest first
01
65
Liverpoolv Fulham
SAT 12 SEP · 15:00TOP CALL
Liverpool 2.24 xG · 6.11 cnr · 2.05 yc
Fulham 1.13 xG · 4.92 cnr · 1.80 yc
This week's predictions
Over 2.5 goals Both teams to score Over 10.5 corners Over 3.5 cards
02
59
Manchester Unitedv Manchester City
SUN 13 SEP · 16:30
Man United 1.29 xG · 4.76 cnr · 1.64 yc
Man City 2.09 xG · 6.42 cnr · 1.67 yc
This week's predictions
Over 2.5 goals Both teams to score Over 10.5 corners Over 2.5 cards
03
57
Chelseav Hull City
SAT 12 SEP · 15:00
Promoted side involved — thin top-flight data, lower confidence.
Red-card watch: both sides among the most-carded last season.
Chelsea 1.72 xG · 5.95 cnr · 2.42 yc
Hull 1.11 xG · 4.1 cnr · 2.23 yc
This week's predictions
Over 1.5 goals Both teams to score Over 9.5 corners Over 4.5 cards A red card
04
56
AFC Bournemouthv Brentford
SAT 12 SEP · 15:00
Bournemouth 1.32 xG · 5.58 cnr · 2.44 yc
Brentford 1.47 xG · 4.79 cnr · 2.07 yc
This week's predictions
Over 1.5 goals Both teams to score Over 9.5 corners Over 4.5 cards
05
41
Coventry Cityv Brighton & Hove Albion
SUN 13 SEP · 14:00
Promoted side involved — thin top-flight data, lower confidence.
Coventry 0.77 xG · 4.3 cnr · 1.83 yc
Brighton 1.92 xG · 4.87 cnr · 2.38 yc
This week's predictions
Over 1.5 goals Over 8.5 corners Over 3.5 cards
06
38
Leeds Unitedv Newcastle United
MON 14 SEP · 20:00
Leeds 1.32 xG · 4.42 cnr · 1.54 yc
Newcastle 1.26 xG · 6.05 cnr · 2.06 yc
This week's predictions
Over 1.5 goals Over 9.5 corners Over 3.5 cards
07
33
Crystal Palacev Ipswich Town
SAT 12 SEP · 15:00
Promoted side involved — thin top-flight data, lower confidence.
C Palace 1.78 xG · 4.18 cnr · 1.56 yc
Ipswich 1.28 xG · 3.9 cnr · 1.83 yc
This week's predictions
Over 1.5 goals Both teams to score Over 8.5 corners Over 2.5 cards
08
31
Tottenham Hotspurv Everton
SAT 12 SEP · 17:30
Red-card watch: both sides among the most-carded last season.
Spurs 0.84 xG · 5.5 cnr · 2.19 yc
Everton 1.37 xG · 4.42 cnr · 1.86 yc
This week's predictions
Under 3.5 goals Over 9.5 corners Over 3.5 cards A red card
09
25
Aston Villav Nottingham Forest
SAT 12 SEP · 15:00
Aston Villa 0.99 xG · 5.24 cnr · 1.71 yc
Nottm Forest 0.99 xG · 5.21 cnr · 1.67 yc
This week's predictions
Under 3.5 goals Over 9.5 corners Over 2.5 cards
10
17
Sunderlandv Arsenal
SAT 12 SEP · 20:00
Sunderland 0.5 xG · 3.63 cnr · 2.01 yc
Arsenal 1.46 xG · 5.68 cnr · 1.34 yc
This week's predictions
Under 3.5 goals Over 8.5 corners Over 2.5 cards
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Leaderboard
This weekend
All season
End-of-season prizes
🥇 1st — 1,000,000 SSB
🥈 2nd — 500,000 SSB
🥉 3rd — 250,000 SSB
1 point per correct prediction · points convert to SSB prizes at 100 SSB per point · prizes distributed weekly. Predictions lock at kickoff.
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Payout sheet
Points convert to SSB prizes at 100 SSB per point. Prizes are distributed weekly.
Premier League Champions League
What this is. A free weekly prediction game built on a statistical
model with known blind spots. It's for entertainment — nothing here is
financial advice.
Reading the sheet. Figures blend the 2025/26 full season with this
season so far — the new-season weight climbs to 50% by gameweek 10. Goals come
from an attack-versus-defence strength model with a home tilt; corners sum each
side's 2025/26 corners-taken rate; cards sum each side's yellow-card rate. Ticks on
each meter mark the scoring bands. The juice score (0–100) weights goals 40,
cards 35, corners 25.
Last weekend. The band takes the model's
prediction for each metric and checks whether it landed against what actually
happened (goals from the final score; corners and cards from ESPN's match
stats, which can lag a few hours). Predictions are recomputed from current
data, so it's a close guide to — not an exact replay of — what the sheet
showed before kickoff.
Not modelled: the referee (the biggest card
swing), team news, form momentum, and weather.
For over-18s. This is a free prediction game
— see our full terms.
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