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Premier LeagueFRI 28 AUG – MON 31 AUG 2026Built Sun 30 Aug 2026, 17:19Ranked by juice score

Games run 1 to 10, strongest first. #1 is where the model is most confident the goals, corners and cards will land; #10 is the one to be wary of. The number next to each game (0–100) is that confidence. A guide, not a guarantee — always check the odds yourself.

Last weekend — how the model did

19/30 within range

Each metric shows model prediction → actual result (difference). ✓ = model landed within range (±1.0 goals, ±2.5 corners, ±1.5 cards).

FRI 21 AUG Arsenal 3–0 Coventry
Goals 3.0 → 3 0Corners 10.0 → 10 0Cards 3.5 → 2 -1.5
SAT 22 AUG Hull 2–0 Man United
Goals 3.0 → 2 -1Corners 9.0 → 7 -2Cards 3.5 → 3 -0.5
SAT 22 AUG Everton 2–0 C Palace
Goals 2.0 → 2 0Corners 8.5 → 4 -4.5Cards 4.0 → 1 -3
SAT 22 AUG Ipswich 2–1 Sunderland
Goals 2.0 → 3 +1Corners 7.5 → 8 +0.5Cards 4.0 → 3 -1
SAT 22 AUG Nottm Forest 0–1 Leeds
Goals 2.5 → 1 -1.5Corners 9.5 → 5 -4.5Cards 3.0 → 3 0
SAT 22 AUG Brentford 3–0 Spurs
Goals 3.0 → 3 0Corners 10.5 → 10 -0.5Cards 4.5 → 2 -2.5
SUN 23 AUG Brighton 4–0 Aston Villa
Goals 2.5 → 4 +1.5Corners 10.0 → 7 -3Cards 4.0 → 6 +2
SUN 23 AUG Man City 2–1 Bournemouth
Goals 3.0 → 3 0Corners 12.0 → 11 -1Cards 4.0 → 3 -1
SUN 23 AUG Newcastle 2–2 Liverpool
Goals 3.0 → 4 +1Corners 12.0 → 8 -4Cards 3.0 → 8 +5
MON 24 AUG Fulham 2–3 Chelsea
Goals 2.5 → 5 +2.5Corners 11.0 → 10 -1Cards 4.5 → 5 +0.5

Model accuracy — season to date

65%

35 of 54 goal / corner / card calls landed within range. Bars below: each metric, then week by week.

Goals
67%
Corners
61%
Cards
67%
2128
01 60

Tottenham HotspurvNewcastle United

SAT 29 AUG · 17:30TOP PICK

Red-card watch: both sides among the most-carded last season.

Goals3.0
2.53.5
Corners11.5
9.510.511.5
Cards4.0
3.54.5
Spurs 1.42 xG · 5.5 cnr · 2.55 yc
Newcastle 1.36 xG · 6.05 cnr · 1.66 yc

Bet builder legs

  • Over 1.5 match goals
  • Both teams to score
  • Over 10.5 match corners (model 11.5)
  • Over 3.5 total cards (model 4.0)
  • A red card shown (both sides card-heavy last season)
02 56

ChelseavBrighton & Hove Albion

SUN 30 AUG · 14:00

Red-card watch: both sides among the most-carded last season.

Goals2.5
2.53.5
Corners11.0
9.510.511.5
Cards4.5
3.54.5
Chelsea 1.43 xG · 5.95 cnr · 2.32 yc
Brighton 1.21 xG · 4.87 cnr · 2.26 yc

Bet builder legs

  • Over 1.5 match goals
  • Over 9.5 match corners (model 11.0)
  • Over 4.5 total cards (model 4.5)
  • A red card shown (both sides card-heavy last season)
03 48

AFC BournemouthvEverton

SAT 29 AUG · 15:00

Red-card watch: both sides among the most-carded last season.

Goals2.5
2.53.5
Corners10.0
9.510.511.5
Cards4.5
3.54.5
Bournemouth 1.56 xG · 5.58 cnr · 2.34 yc
Everton 1.14 xG · 4.42 cnr · 1.95 yc

Bet builder legs

  • Over 1.5 match goals
  • Over 9.5 match corners (model 10.0)
  • Over 3.5 total cards (model 4.5)
  • A red card shown (both sides card-heavy last season)
04 44

Manchester UnitedvIpswich Town

SUN 30 AUG · 16:30

Promoted side involved — thin top-flight data, lower confidence.

Goals3.5
2.53.5
Corners8.5
9.510.511.5
Cards3.5
3.54.5
Man United 2.39 xG · 4.76 cnr · 1.63 yc
Ipswich 0.9 xG · 3.9 cnr · 2.05 yc

Bet builder legs

  • Over 2.5 match goals
  • Over 8.5 match corners (model 8.5)
  • Over 3.5 total cards (model 3.5)
05 43

LiverpoolvNottingham Forest

SAT 29 AUG · 12:30
Goals3.0
2.53.5
Corners11.5
9.510.511.5
Cards3.0
3.54.5
Liverpool 1.72 xG · 6.11 cnr · 1.50 yc
Nottm Forest 1.14 xG · 5.21 cnr · 1.53 yc

Bet builder legs

  • Over 1.5 match goals
  • Both teams to score
  • Over 10.5 match corners (model 11.5)
  • Over 2.5 total cards (model 3.0)
06 40

Crystal PalacevManchester City

FRI 28 AUG · 20:00
Goals2.5
2.53.5
Corners10.5
9.510.511.5
Cards4.0
3.54.5
C Palace 0.77 xG · 4.18 cnr · 1.95 yc
Man City 1.76 xG · 6.42 cnr · 1.82 yc

Bet builder legs

  • Under 3.5 match goals
  • Over 9.5 match corners (model 10.5)
  • Over 3.5 total cards (model 4.0)
07 31

Leeds UnitedvBrentford

SUN 30 AUG · 14:00
Goals3.0
2.53.5
Corners9.0
9.510.511.5
Cards3.5
3.54.5
Leeds 1.37 xG · 4.42 cnr · 1.63 yc
Brentford 1.38 xG · 4.79 cnr · 1.82 yc

Bet builder legs

  • Over 1.5 match goals
  • Both teams to score
  • Over 8.5 match corners (model 9.0)
  • Over 2.5 total cards (model 3.5)
08 30

Coventry CityvHull City

SAT 29 AUG · 15:00

Promoted side involved — thin top-flight data, lower confidence.

Goals2.5
2.53.5
Corners8.5
9.510.511.5
Cards4.0
3.54.5
Coventry 1.38 xG · 4.3 cnr · 2.05 yc
Hull 1.16 xG · 4.1 cnr · 2.05 yc

Bet builder legs

  • Under 3.5 match goals
  • Over 8.5 match corners (model 8.5)
  • Over 3.5 total cards (model 4.0)
09 26

Aston VillavArsenal

MON 31 AUG · 20:00
Goals2.5
2.53.5
Corners11.0
9.510.511.5
Cards3.0
3.54.5
Aston Villa 0.81 xG · 5.24 cnr · 1.58 yc
Arsenal 1.56 xG · 5.68 cnr · 1.34 yc

Bet builder legs

  • Under 3.5 match goals
  • Over 9.5 match corners (model 11.0)
  • Over 2.5 total cards (model 3.0)
10 23

SunderlandvFulham

SUN 30 AUG · 14:00
Goals2.0
2.53.5
Corners8.5
9.510.511.5
Cards4.0
3.54.5
Sunderland 1.15 xG · 3.63 cnr · 2.16 yc
Fulham 1.01 xG · 4.92 cnr · 2.00 yc

Bet builder legs

  • Under 3.5 match goals
  • Over 8.5 match corners (model 8.5)
  • Over 3.5 total cards (model 4.0)

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